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German Wissenschaftskolleg Berlin
For Eniola Olutogun, the strongest angle is to frame the CCT (Conjunctive Consolidation Threshold) model as a humanities-adjacent, interdisciplinary project on the philosophy and ethics of addiction and reward-memory, rather than a purely computational neuroscience project. The CCT model's tripartite framework (dopaminergic RPE, NMDAR-dependent LTP, affective contrast) and its Bayesian calibration can be positioned as a contribution to understanding human decision-making, free will, and the nature of addiction—topics that resonate with humanities and social science scholars at the Wissenschaftskolleg. This aligns with the call's focus on humanities and social sciences, while leveraging Eniola's unique multi-domain expertise to offer a fresh perspective on a classic human problem.
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Generated: 2026-08-04 21:07
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MOTIVATION LETTER The Wissenschaftskolleg zu Berlin's early-career call for humanities and social sciences asks what an independent researcher can contribute to a collective ten months of unfettered inquiry. My answer is a philosophical and empirical investigation into the nature of addiction, free will, and reward-memory, grounded in a computational model I have built and tested over the past two years. The Conjunctive Consolidation Threshold (CCT) model is a tripartite pharmacological framework that specifies how dopaminergic reward prediction error, NMDAR-dependent long-term potentiation, and affective contrast jointly determine whether an experience becomes a consolidated reward-memory. I have calibrated this model using Bayesian MCMC (PyMC DEMetropolisZ, 14 free parameters) against a literature-elicited prior derived from a systematic screen of 1,847 records, and all five pre-registered hypotheses (H1-H5) were confirmed. The model's posterior shows a super-additive interaction of 13-22 percentage points across model versions, meaning the three axes are not independent contributors but a single threshold mechanism. The CCT model is a technical result with a specific claim about human agency: the encoding of reward-memory, the substrate of what we call desire and habit, has a conjunctive threshold that can be pharmacologically and computationally specified. That claim bears directly on philosophical questions of determinism, moral responsibility, and the ethics of intervention in addictive disorders. If a memory trace only consolidates when three distinct neural conditions are simultaneously met, then the locus of intervention is not a single receptor or a single behavior but a system-level conjunction. This reframes the ethics of addiction treatment from a question of willpower to a question of system architecture. The Wissenschaftskolleg's ethos, as I understand it from its fellowship model of daily meals and weekly colloquia, is that heterogeneous intellectual environments produce insights that disciplinary silos cannot. My training as a pharmacist (B.Pharm, University of Ibadan, CGPA 5.1/7.0), my independent work in computational neuroscience, and my current enrollment in the M.Sc. Digital Health program at the Hasso Plattner Institute / University of Potsdam position me to speak across pharmacology, dynamical systems theory, and the philosophy of mind. I have three sole-authored preprints under review at peer-reviewed journals (IART, PNPBP, NBR) and a co-authored paper under review at Alcohol (Elsevier). I have received an arXiv endorsement from Samuel Gershman at Harvard and have corresponded with Kent Berridge at Michigan, Nathaniel Daw at Princeton, and Marcelo Mattar at NYU on the CCT framework's assumptions. I seek from the Wissenschaftskolleg the time and the intellectual company to develop the CCT model's philosophical implications: a monograph-length treatment of how a conjunctive threshold model of reward-memory changes our understanding of addiction as a disorder of learning rather than a disorder of choice. My work is methods-validation research, openly reported, including negative results. I am prepared to present this work to non-specialists, to have my assumptions challenged by historians, sociologists, and philosophers, and to contribute to the colloquia with the same rigor I have applied to my computational work. The Wissenschaftskolleg's freedom-of-research mandate is precisely the environment in which a model built from 1,847 screened records can become a contribution to the human sciences. RESEARCH STATEMENT Project Title: The Conjunctive Consolidation Threshold: A Computational and Philosophical Account of Reward-Memory Encoding in Addiction The central question of this project is whether addiction is best understood as a disorder of learning, specifically of reward-memory consolidation, and what that reframing implies for ethics, law, and clinical practice. I bring to this question a working computational model, the Conjunctive Consolidation Threshold (CCT), which I have developed, calibrated, and tested over the past two years as an independent researcher. The CCT model specifies that a reward-memory is consolidated only when three coupled conditions are simultaneously met: a dopaminergic reward prediction error signal, NMDAR-dependent long-term potentiation at the relevant synapses, and a sufficient affective contrast between the current state and the predicted state. These three axes are modeled as a system of ordinary differential equations (ODE, solved with RK45) in which the three processes are coupled, not additive. The model's key output is a threshold function: below a conjunctive threshold, the experience is encoded weakly or not at all; above it, a consolidated reward-memory forms. This is a falsifiable claim about the neurobiology of memory, and I have tested it. My empirical work to date: I conducted a systematic literature screen of 1,847 records to elicit priors for the model's 14 free parameters. I calibrated the model using Bayesian MCMC (PyMC DEMetropolisZ) and confirmed all five pre-registered hypotheses (H1-H5). The posterior distribution shows a super-additive interaction of 13-22 percentage points across model versions, meaning the joint effect of the three axes exceeds the sum of their individual effects. This is the core empirical result: the threshold is conjunctive, not additive. I have reported this in three sole-authored preprints (OSF/Zenodo), each currently under review at a peer-reviewed journal (IART, PNPBP, NBR), and in a co-authored paper under review at Alcohol (Elsevier). The philosophical and humanistic implications are the focus of this project at the Wissenschaftskolleg. If reward-memory consolidation is conjunctive, then the folk-psychological distinction between "wanting" and "liking," which Kent Berridge has articulated, acquires a precise mechanistic correlate. The CCT model suggests that the transition from casual drug use to addiction is not a gradual strengthening of a single pathway but a discrete phase transition driven by the simultaneous satisfaction of three conditions. This has direct implications for the ethics of punishment versus treatment, for the design of interventions (which should target the conjunction, not a single receptor), and for the concept of free will in the context of compulsive behavior. My methodological approach for the fellowship year is threefold. First, I will complete the philosophical manuscript, developing the CCT model's implications for theories of moral responsibility, drawing on the model's formal structure to argue that addiction involves a specific kind of learning impairment that is neither fully deterministic nor fully voluntary. Second, I will extend the CCT model to incorporate affective contrast as a first-class variable, using the dynamical-systems framework I have already built (the neurocascade engine, which couples pharmacokinetics to receptor binding to Wilson-Cowan circuit dynamics to behavioral readouts, with 62 of 62 tests passing). Third, I will engage the Wissenschaftskolleg's interdisciplinary community directly, presenting the model to non-specialists and incorporating feedback from philosophers, sociologists, and historians into the manuscript. This project is a fundamental inquiry into the architecture of human memory and desire, conducted with computational rigor and reported with full transparency, including negative results. My prior work demonstrates this commitment: in a separate study on cardiotoxicity prediction using topological data analysis, I pre-registered a powered replication and discovered that topological features do not beat a plain descriptor baseline (AUROC 0.8426 vs 0.8782), a negative result I reported directly. The Wissenschaftskolleg's emphasis on freedom of research, not applied outcomes, is the correct environment for this work. I am at an early-career stage: 29 years old, Nigerian, with a B.Pharm from the University of Ibadan and enrollment in the M.Sc. Digital Health program at HPI/Potsdam beginning Winter Semester 2026/27. I have demonstrated independent productivity through preprints, peer review, and correspondence with leading scholars. The Wissenschaftskolleg's early-career call is the appropriate venue for a researcher who has built a testable model and now needs the intellectual community to develop its full implications.
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